In the wake of better-than-expected midterm results, President Joe Biden’s support among Democrats to seek reelection has increased dramatically, according to a new USA TODAY/Ipsos Poll, while Donald Trump’s position among Republicans has declined.
Democratic voters now make up 71% of those who think that Biden might win the presidency in 2024, a significant increase from the 60% who thought so in an August poll.
Currently, 75% of Republicans believe Trump might win the upcoming election, which is still slightly more than Biden among their supporters. However, that is 7% less than the 82% of Republicans who had that opinion of the former president prior to the midterm elections.
“With his supporters focused on 2024, Trump had an advantage before the midterms, “Ipsos president of U.S. public affairs Clifford Young said. “After the midterm elections, Trump has gained momentum and Democrats have increased faith in Biden, making this a close contest. The race has begun.
Women voters (up 71% from 55%) and voters under the age of 35 (up 69% from 53%) saw Biden make the biggest gains since August.
A week after Election Day, when it was evident that Democrats had maintained control of the Senate and that Republican gains had been constrained to a narrow majority in the House, a survey of 2,004 individuals was conducted.
The poll’s credibility interval is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points for all respondents, 4.5 points for Republican voters, and 4.0 points for Democratic voters. It was conducted online using the Ipsos online panel.
Democratic supporters have become less inclined to say that their party needs to change, an indication of increased trust in Biden. Republicans who are less confident in Trump are more likely to demand change in the GOP.
Democrats are currently evenly divided on whether Biden should be their party’s nominee for president in 2024 (50-50). In August, 44% of voters thought he should be reelected and 56% said it was time for a change; as a result, a 12-point gap has been equalized.
Republican voters, by a margin of 54% to 46%, believe that Trump should be their third choice for president. Even if he now has an eight-point advantage, the gap is still far smaller than the 18-point lead he had in August (59%-41).
According to the results, the political environment is more favorable for potential Republican challengers who are thinking about running for president in 2024, such as Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, former Vice President Mike Pence, and former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo.
Pence told USA TODAY that Trump’s decision to launch his candidacy last week would not have any bearing on his decision to run. In an interview about his new book, “So Help Me God,” Vice President Pence stated, “I think there’s a real desire for new leadership in the Republican Party.”
DeSantis won decisively in the midterm elections to secure a second term in Tallahassee. The Florida governor responded, “At the end of the day, I would just tell people to go check out the scoreboard from last Tuesday night,” when asked about Trump’s jabs, which include calling him “DeSanctimonious.”
